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Bullitt, KY · ZIP 40165 · Census Tract 21029020900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$238K
Downside (P10)
$208K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$248K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$329K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $117K | $130K | $132K | $131K | $148K | $164K | $193K | $218K | $236K | $224K | $238K | $236K | $243K | $248K |
| YoY Change | +11.1% | +1.6% | -0.9% | +13.3% | +11.1% | +17.6% | +13.1% | +8.0% | -4.8% | +6.1% | -0.9% | +3.1% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $213K | $211K | $208K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $292K | $317K | $329K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$213K to $292K
33.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$208K to $329K
49.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherdsville Northwest | $232K | $248K | +6.9% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020501) | $199K | $233K | +17.0% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020101) | $273K | $311K | +13.8% | |
| Mount Washington (Tract 020102) | $236K | $256K | +8.2% | |
| Shepherdsville | $208K | $223K | +6.8% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020601) | $207K | $202K | -2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherdsville Northwest | $232K | $248K | +6.9% | |
| Lebanon Junction | $188K | $227K | +20.7% | |
| Hillview | $174K | $209K | +20.0% | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest | $199K | $233K | +17.0% | |
| Mount Washington | $300K | $347K | +15.5% | |
| Shepherdsville Southeast | $367K | $417K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherdsville Northwest | $232K | $248K | $121K | |
| Mount Washington | $236K | $256K | $125K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020601) | $207K | $202K | $124K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020800) | $178K | $184K | $117K | |
| Shepherdsville Southeast | $199K | $213K | $105K | |
| Shepherdsville Northwest (Tract 020704) | $126K | $128K | $57K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.