County 24768, MD · Census Tract 24768004324 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$794K
Downside (P10)
$324K
-59% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$673K
-15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+51% by 2030
Base case: -15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -59% to +51%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 24768 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $794K | $803K | $714K | $668K | $673K |
| YoY Change | +1.1% | -11.1% | -6.4% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $464K | $376K | $331K | $324K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$608K to $1.04M
54.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$324K to $1.20M
130.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 111864 | $789K | $718K | -9.0% |
| Tract 004560 | $800K | $816K | +2.0% |
| Tract 111686 | $801K | $767K | -4.3% |
| Tract 111220 | $786K | $763K | -3.0% |
| Tract 101447 | $807K | $671K | -16.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 109203 | $815K | $1.04M | +28.1% |
| Tract 001123 | $624K | $744K | +19.1% |
| Tract 101243 | $982K | $1.16M | +18.5% |
| Tract 103500 | $974K | $1.14M | +16.6% |
| Tract 001369 | $693K | $793K | +14.4% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources