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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Harford, MD · ZIP 21034 · Census Tract 24025305300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$436K
Downside (P10)
$377K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$486K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$596K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $251K | $258K | $288K | $306K | $320K | $316K | $323K | $367K | $422K | $408K | $436K | $448K | $476K | $486K |
| YoY Change | +2.6% | +11.6% | +6.6% | +4.4% | -1.3% | +2.4% | +13.5% | +15.0% | -3.3% | +7.0% | +2.6% | +6.4% | +2.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $393K | $393K | $377K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $536K | $567K | $596K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$393K to $536K
32.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$377K to $596K
45.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Dublin · Darlington · (Tract 3053) | $418K | $486K | +16.1% | |
| 3, Bel Air | $422K | $495K | +17.2% | |
| 6, Havre de Grace (Tract 306300) | $425K | $456K | +7.3% | |
| Bel Air North | $459K | $486K | +5.8% | |
| 5, Dublin | $450K | $474K | +5.3% | |
| 6, Havre de Grace (Tract 306400) | $414K | $430K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Dublin · Darlington · (Tract 3053) | $418K | $486K | +16.1% | |
| 4, Marshall | $461K | $541K | +17.2% | |
| 3, Bel Air | $422K | $495K | +17.2% | |
| 2, Halls Cross Roads | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| 1, Abingdon | $327K | $374K | +14.4% | |
| Edgewood | $191K | $219K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Dublin · Darlington · (Tract 3053) | $418K | $486K | $220K | |
| Joppatowne | $324K | $348K | $150K | |
| 3, Bel Air | $292K | $315K | $145K | |
| Aberdeen | $236K | $258K | $140K | |
| Edgewood | $191K | $219K | $131K | |
| 2, Halls Cross Roads | $160K | $181K | $85K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.