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Harford, MD · ZIP 21078 · Census Tract 24025306400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$415K
Downside (P10)
$328K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$430K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$628K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $312K | $282K | $282K | $292K | $286K | $288K | $307K | $360K | $364K | $418K | $415K | $429K | $430K | $430K | $436K |
| YoY Change | -9.5% | +0.0% | +3.3% | -2.0% | +0.8% | +6.5% | +17.4% | +1.1% | +14.7% | -0.7% | +3.5% | +0.2% | -0.0% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $343K | $344K | $328K | $386K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $505K | $559K | $628K | $491K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$343K to $505K
37.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$386K to $491K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Havre de Grace · Havre De Grace · (Tract 3064) | $414K | $430K | +3.7% | |
| 3, Bel Air (Tract 303900) | $422K | $495K | +17.2% | |
| 5, Dublin (Tract 305300) | $418K | $486K | +16.1% | |
| 5, Dublin (Tract 305200) | $400K | $439K | +9.7% | |
| 6, Havre de Grace | $425K | $456K | +7.3% | |
| 3, Bel Air (Tract 303700) | $398K | $421K | +5.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Havre de Grace · Havre De Grace · (Tract 3064) | $414K | $430K | +3.7% | |
| 4, Marshall | $461K | $541K | +17.2% | |
| 3, Bel Air | $422K | $495K | +17.2% | |
| 5, Dublin | $418K | $486K | +16.1% | |
| 2, Halls Cross Roads | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| 1, Abingdon | $327K | $374K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Havre de Grace · Havre De Grace · (Tract 3064) | $414K | $430K | $300K | |
| Joppatowne | $324K | $348K | $150K | |
| 3, Bel Air | $292K | $315K | $145K | |
| Aberdeen | $236K | $258K | $140K | |
| Edgewood | $191K | $219K | $131K | |
| 2, Halls Cross Roads | $160K | $181K | $85K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.