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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
St. Joseph, MI · Census Tract 26149200062 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$994K
Downside (P10)
$838K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.23M
+24% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.83M
+84% by 2030
Base case: +24% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +84%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $994K | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +14.9% | +2.8% | -0.3% | +4.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $927K | $849K | $831K | $838K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.7M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$927K to $1.43M
43.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$838K to $1.83M
81.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200062 | $994K | $1.23M | +23.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200729) | $999K | $1.40M | +39.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201524) | $985K | $1.36M | +38.4% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200389) | $1.00M | $1.36M | +35.9% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201825) | $997K | $1.26M | +26.8% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200305) | $1.01M | $1.28M | +26.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200062 | $994K | $1.23M | +23.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202086) | $967K | $1.37M | +41.6% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200729) | $999K | $1.40M | +39.7% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200428) | $938K | $1.30M | +38.5% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 201524) | $985K | $1.36M | +38.4% | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 200363) | $934K | $1.29M | +38.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200062 | $994K | $1.23M | $995K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 203483) | $650K | $776K | $522K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202426) | $671K | $846K | $519K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 203205) | $693K | $827K | $518K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 203467) | $632K | $792K | $477K | |
| St. Joseph (Tract 202125) | $800K | $813K | $457K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources