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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jefferson, MO · ZIP 63010 · Census Tract 29099700111 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$184K
Downside (P10)
$159K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$191K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$257K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $116K | $115K | $117K | $125K | $132K | $136K | $146K | $164K | $172K | $179K | $184K | $186K | $187K | $191K | $187K |
| YoY Change | -0.5% | +1.5% | +7.5% | +5.2% | +3.4% | +7.3% | +11.9% | +5.3% | +3.7% | +2.8% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +2.2% | -2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $166K | $158K | $159K | $167K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $219K | $243K | $257K | $207K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$166K to $219K
28.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$167K to $207K
21.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnold · 63010 · (Tract 7001.11) | $183K | $191K | +4.5% | |
| High Ridge | $175K | $198K | +12.8% | |
| Big River | $179K | $199K | +11.2% | |
| Meramec (Tract 700503) | $179K | $198K | +10.7% | |
| Meramec (Tract 700207) | $176K | $190K | +7.8% | |
| River View | $190K | $198K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnold · 63010 · (Tract 7001.11) | $183K | $191K | +4.5% | |
| Imperial | $376K | $442K | +17.5% | |
| Festus | $207K | $242K | +17.1% | |
| Murphy | $195K | $225K | +15.2% | |
| Imperial area | $237K | $273K | +14.9% | |
| Valle | $169K | $194K | +14.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnold · 63010 · (Tract 7001.11) | $183K | $191K | $98K | |
| Joachim (Tract 700605) | $236K | $262K | $102K | |
| Meramec (Tract 700503) | $179K | $198K | $101K | |
| Meramec (Tract 700207) | $176K | $190K | $101K | |
| Big River | $179K | $199K | $91K | |
| Joachim (Tract 700606) | $165K | $178K | $78K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.