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Flathead, MT · ZIP 59901 · Census Tract 30029000602 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$684K
Downside (P10)
$606K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$724K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$931K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $276K | $273K | $291K | $299K | $319K | $342K | $376K | $494K | $606K | $657K | $684K | $688K | $711K | $724K |
| YoY Change | -1.2% | +6.8% | +2.5% | +6.7% | +7.2% | +9.9% | +31.5% | +22.7% | +8.4% | +4.2% | +0.5% | +3.3% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $612K | $623K | $606K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $827K | $913K | $931K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$612K to $827K
31.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$606K to $931K
44.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bad Rock-Columbia Heights | $665K | $724K | +8.8% | |
| Kalispell | $684K | $705K | +3.0% | |
| Kalispell Southwest | $680K | $789K | +15.9% | |
| Creston-Bigfork | $695K | $737K | +6.0% | |
| Whitefish (Tract 000404) | $672K | $750K | +11.5% | |
| Whitefish (Tract 000402) | $672K | $773K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bad Rock-Columbia Heights | $665K | $724K | +8.8% | |
| Bigfork | $570K | $673K | +18.0% | |
| South Fork | $420K | $491K | +17.0% | |
| Kalispell Southwest | $680K | $789K | +15.9% | |
| Whitefish | $672K | $773K | +15.1% | |
| Kalispell | $441K | $504K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bad Rock-Columbia Heights | $665K | $724K | $325K | |
| Kalispell (Tract 001000) | $287K | $316K | $180K | |
| Columbia Falls area | $400K | $422K | $190K | |
| Kalispell (Tract 000903) | $416K | $453K | $211K | |
| Kalispell (Tract 000901) | $394K | $445K | $217K | |
| Kalispell Southwest area | $503K | $565K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.