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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Caldwell, NC · ZIP 28630 · Census Tract 37027031402 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$197K
Downside (P10)
$160K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$215K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$293K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $122K | $120K | $132K | $134K | $149K | $151K | $149K | $171K | $183K | $185K | $197K | $201K | $210K | $215K |
| YoY Change | -1.3% | +9.7% | +2.0% | +10.6% | +1.5% | -1.5% | +15.0% | +7.1% | +1.2% | +6.2% | +2.3% | +4.6% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $173K | $163K | $160K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $230K | $257K | $293K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$173K to $230K
28.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$160K to $293K
61.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovelady · Granite Falls · (Tract 314.2) | $190K | $215K | +13.2% | |
| Hudson | $210K | $229K | +9.0% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031403) | $217K | $231K | +6.5% | |
| Johns River area | $211K | $225K | +6.5% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031401) | $208K | $216K | +3.8% | |
| Lovelady (Tract 031302) | $217K | $220K | +1.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovelady · Granite Falls · (Tract 314.2) | $190K | $215K | +13.2% | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030100) | $157K | $182K | +15.8% | |
| Hudson area | $158K | $181K | +15.0% | |
| Hudson | $222K | $251K | +13.1% | |
| Lower Creek | $244K | $273K | +11.9% | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030300) | $150K | $167K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovelady · Granite Falls · (Tract 314.2) | $190K | $215K | $133K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030802) | $152K | $165K | $90K | |
| Patterson area | $166K | $180K | $89K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030200) | $128K | $143K | $81K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030300) | $150K | $167K | $75K | |
| Lenoir (Tract 030400) | $124K | $126K | $68K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.