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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Durham, NC · ZIP 27707 · Census Tract 37063002029 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$512K
Downside (P10)
$401K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$524K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$720K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $345K | $384K | $452K | $491K | $500K | $512K | $537K | $530K | $524K |
| YoY Change | +11.4% | +17.7% | +8.6% | +1.7% | +2.4% | +5.0% | -1.2% | -1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $442K | $419K | $401K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $624K | $650K | $720K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$442K to $624K
33.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$401K to $720K
60.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durham · 27707 · (Tract 20.29) | $505K | $524K | +3.8% | |
| Durham (Tract 000301) | $473K | $580K | +22.6% | |
| Triangle | $481K | $529K | +10.0% | |
| Durham (Tract 000401) | $533K | $578K | +8.5% | |
| Durham (Tract 002031) | $474K | $508K | +7.2% | |
| Carr | $480K | $501K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durham · 27707 · (Tract 20.29) | $505K | $524K | +3.8% | |
| Durham (Tract 000301) | $473K | $580K | +22.6% | |
| Triangle | $419K | $486K | +16.0% | |
| Durham (Tract 001706) | $354K | $408K | +15.3% | |
| Durham (Tract 000402) | $620K | $713K | +15.0% | |
| Oak Grove | $383K | $440K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durham · 27707 · (Tract 20.29) | $505K | $524K | $319K | |
| Oak Grove (Tract 001801) | $245K | $259K | $118K | |
| Durham (Tract 001002) | $220K | $233K | $111K | |
| Durham (Tract 001400) | $170K | $187K | $97K | |
| Oak Grove (Tract 001810) | $189K | $204K | $90K | |
| Durham (Tract 001301) | $194K | $218K | $87K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.