Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27612 · Census Tract 37183053728 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$380K
Downside (P10)
$332K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$391K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$543K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +43%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Raleigh markets.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $243K | $258K | $330K | $357K | $369K | $380K | $394K | $389K | $391K |
| YoY Change | +6.2% | +27.7% | +8.3% | +3.3% | +2.8% | +3.7% | -1.2% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $321K | $337K | $332K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $489K | $511K | $543K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$321K to $489K
42.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$332K to $543K
54.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| House Creek · Raleigh · (Tract 537.28) | $376K | $391K | +3.8% | |
| Cary | $379K | $427K | +12.6% | |
| Raleigh | $378K | $391K | +3.4% | |
| Panther Branch | $378K | $448K | +18.4% | |
| Panther Branch | $382K | $415K | +8.7% | |
| Neuse | $377K | $397K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| House Creek · Raleigh · (Tract 537.28) | $376K | $391K | +3.8% | |
| Raleigh | $462K | $560K | +21.1% | |
| White Oak | $528K | $639K | +21.0% | |
| Raleigh | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| Raleigh | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Holly Springs | $501K | $596K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| House Creek · Raleigh · (Tract 537.28) | $376K | $391K | $211K | |
| Marks Creek | $272K | $291K | $124K | |
| Raleigh | $197K | $229K | $130K | |
| Little River | $249K | $250K | $131K | |
| Raleigh | $245K | $272K | $132K | |
| Raleigh | $239K | $260K | $133K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.