Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27610 · Census Tract 37183054109 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$420K
Downside (P10)
$384K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$459K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$588K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +40%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Raleigh markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $234K | $233K | $231K | $250K | $248K | $260K | $296K | $334K | $356K | $405K | $420K | $442K | $448K | $459K |
| YoY Change | -0.1% | -1.0% | +8.1% | -0.8% | +4.9% | +13.7% | +13.1% | +6.6% | +13.7% | +3.7% | +5.3% | +1.3% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $386K | $380K | $384K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $531K | $555K | $588K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$386K to $531K
32.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$384K to $588K
44.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Matthews area | $408K | $459K | +12.5% | |
| Cary | $419K | $450K | +7.3% | |
| Cary | $421K | $468K | +11.2% | |
| Panther Branch | $422K | $474K | +12.2% | |
| Neuse | $423K | $451K | +6.7% | |
| Raleigh | $427K | $452K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Matthews area | $408K | $459K | +12.5% | |
| Raleigh | $462K | $560K | +21.1% | |
| White Oak | $528K | $639K | +21.0% | |
| Raleigh | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| Raleigh | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Holly Springs | $501K | $596K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Matthews area | $408K | $459K | $205K | |
| Marks Creek | $272K | $291K | $124K | |
| Raleigh | $197K | $229K | $130K | |
| Little River | $249K | $250K | $131K | |
| Raleigh | $245K | $272K | $132K | |
| Raleigh | $239K | $260K | $133K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.