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Wayne, NC · ZIP 27534 · Census Tract 37191000402 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$141K
Downside (P10)
$120K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$148K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$192K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $86K | $90K | $85K | $89K | $95K | $100K | $98K | $117K | $124K | $141K | $141K | $140K | $147K | $148K |
| YoY Change | +5.4% | -5.8% | +4.1% | +6.8% | +5.3% | -1.5% | +19.2% | +5.7% | +14.4% | -0.1% | -0.9% | +5.1% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $116K | $118K | $120K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $165K | $181K | $192K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$116K to $165K
35.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$120K to $192K
48.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Hope | $141K | $148K | +4.6% | |
| Brogden | $135K | $155K | +15.2% | |
| Great Swamp | $161K | $183K | +13.8% | |
| Nahunta | $155K | $172K | +10.9% | |
| Fork | $163K | $177K | +8.4% | |
| Grantham | $147K | $153K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Hope | $141K | $148K | +4.6% | |
| Brogden | $135K | $155K | +15.2% | |
| Goldsboro (Tract 001800) | $91K | $104K | +14.3% | |
| Great Swamp | $161K | $183K | +13.8% | |
| Goldsboro (Tract 001500) | $104K | $117K | +12.2% | |
| Saulston | $182K | $203K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Hope | $141K | $148K | $72K | |
| Indian Springs (Tract 000603) | $116K | $128K | $68K | |
| Brogden (Tract 000700) | $117K | $120K | $61K | |
| Brogden (Tract 000601) | $95K | $100K | $59K | |
| Grantham | $147K | $153K | $53K | |
| Indian Springs (Tract 000604) | $60K | $66K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.