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Wayne, NC · ZIP 28365 · Census Tract 37191001000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$148K
Downside (P10)
$132K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$153K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$185K
+25% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +25%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $89K | $93K | $94K | $113K | $113K | $117K | $122K | $148K | $142K | $145K | $148K | $149K | $151K | $153K |
| YoY Change | +4.2% | +1.8% | +19.4% | -0.2% | +3.6% | +4.9% | +20.9% | -4.3% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $128K | $131K | $132K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $173K | $181K | $185K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$128K to $173K
30.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$132K to $185K
34.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grantham | $147K | $153K | +4.3% | |
| New Hope | $141K | $148K | +4.6% | |
| Nahunta | $155K | $172K | +10.9% | |
| Great Swamp | $161K | $183K | +13.8% | |
| Brogden | $135K | $155K | +15.2% | |
| Fork | $163K | $177K | +8.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grantham | $147K | $153K | +4.3% | |
| Brogden | $135K | $155K | +15.2% | |
| Goldsboro (Tract 001800) | $91K | $104K | +14.3% | |
| Great Swamp | $161K | $183K | +13.8% | |
| Goldsboro (Tract 001500) | $104K | $117K | +12.2% | |
| Saulston | $182K | $203K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grantham | $147K | $153K | $53K | |
| Indian Springs (Tract 000604) | $60K | $66K | $38K | |
| Brogden (Tract 000601) | $95K | $100K | $59K | |
| Brogden (Tract 000700) | $117K | $120K | $61K | |
| Indian Springs (Tract 000603) | $116K | $128K | $68K | |
| Goldsboro | $91K | $104K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.