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Grand Forks, ND · ZIP 58256 · Census Tract 38035011400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$210K
Downside (P10)
$167K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$226K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$281K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $130K | $136K | $144K | $159K | $148K | $153K | $176K | $188K | $199K | $210K | $216K | $224K | $226K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$83,809 | -$80,009 | -$73,509 | -$65,109 | -$50,409 | -$61,909 | -$56,109 | -$33,909 | -$22,009 | -$10,809 | +$6,632 | +$14,774 | +$16,515 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.0% | -38.2% | -35.1% | -31.1% | -24.1% | -29.5% | -26.8% | -16.2% | -10.5% | -5.2% | +3.2% | +7.1% | +7.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $180K | $173K | $167K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $245K | $266K | $281K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$180K to $245K
30.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$167K to $281K
50.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilby area | $202K | $226K | +11.7% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010806) | $233K | $259K | +11.2% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010600) | $219K | $236K | +7.7% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010400) | $213K | $229K | +7.4% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 011000) | $201K | $213K | +6.1% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010200) | $212K | $218K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilby area | $202K | $226K | +11.7% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010804) | $313K | $355K | +13.5% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010805) | $142K | $161K | +13.3% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 011201) | $267K | $298K | +11.4% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010806) | $233K | $259K | +11.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilby area | $202K | $226K | $114K | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010100) | $174K | $190K | $112K | |
| Elm Grove area | $235K | $261K | $106K | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010600) | $219K | $236K | $102K | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010805) | $142K | $161K | $94K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Grand Forks, ND · ZIP 58256 · Census Tract 38035011400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$210K
Downside (P10)
$167K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$226K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$281K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $130K | $136K | $144K | $159K | $148K | $153K | $176K | $188K | $199K | $210K | $216K | $224K | $226K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$83,809 | -$80,009 | -$73,509 | -$65,109 | -$50,409 | -$61,909 | -$56,109 | -$33,909 | -$22,009 | -$10,809 | +$6,632 | +$14,774 | +$16,515 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.0% | -38.2% | -35.1% | -31.1% | -24.1% | -29.5% | -26.8% | -16.2% | -10.5% | -5.2% | +3.2% | +7.1% | +7.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $180K | $173K | $167K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $245K | $266K | $281K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$180K to $245K
30.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$167K to $281K
50.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilby area | $202K | $226K | +11.7% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010806) | $233K | $259K | +11.2% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010600) | $219K | $236K | +7.7% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010400) | $213K | $229K | +7.4% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 011000) | $201K | $213K | +6.1% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010200) | $212K | $218K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilby area | $202K | $226K | +11.7% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010804) | $313K | $355K | +13.5% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010805) | $142K | $161K | +13.3% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 011201) | $267K | $298K | +11.4% | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010806) | $233K | $259K | +11.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilby area | $202K | $226K | $114K | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010100) | $174K | $190K | $112K | |
| Elm Grove area | $235K | $261K | $106K | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010600) | $219K | $236K | $102K | |
| Grand Forks (Tract 010805) | $142K | $161K | $94K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
