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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Miguel, NM · ZIP 87701 · Census Tract 35047957601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$245K
Downside (P10)
$218K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$263K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$348K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $179K | $187K | $195K | $198K | $235K | $245K | $241K | $255K | $263K |
| YoY Change | +4.5% | +4.3% | +1.6% | +18.5% | +4.4% | -1.8% | +6.2% | +2.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $220K | $225K | $218K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $291K | $314K | $348K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$220K to $291K
29.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$218K to $348K
49.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pecos | $238K | $263K | +10.5% | |
| Trementina area | $217K | $245K | +13.0% | |
| Pecos (Tract 957603) | $295K | $326K | +10.3% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957502) | $212K | $232K | +9.4% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957800) | $197K | $212K | +8.1% | |
| Pecos (Tract 957602) | $176K | $187K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pecos | $238K | $263K | +10.5% | |
| Trementina area | $217K | $245K | +13.0% | |
| Pecos | $295K | $326K | +10.3% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957502) | $212K | $232K | +9.4% | |
| Villanueva | $124K | $136K | +9.4% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957200) | $170K | $184K | +8.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pecos | $238K | $263K | $130K | |
| Pecos | $176K | $187K | $111K | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957300) | $153K | $164K | $92K | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957200) | $170K | $184K | $82K | |
| Villanueva | $124K | $136K | $76K | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957400) | $126K | $134K | $66K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.