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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
San Miguel, NM · ZIP 87701 · Census Tract 35047957800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$203K
Downside (P10)
$159K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$212K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$271K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $98K | $106K | $108K | $98K | $109K | $126K | $139K | $161K | $173K | $193K | $203K | $210K | $212K | $212K |
| YoY Change | +8.6% | +1.4% | -8.6% | +10.4% | +16.0% | +9.9% | +16.2% | +7.7% | +11.5% | +4.7% | +3.6% | +1.0% | +0.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $171K | $168K | $159K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $246K | $270K | $271K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$171K to $246K
35.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$159K to $271K
52.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $197K | $212K | +8.1% | |
| Trementina area | $217K | $245K | +13.0% | |
| Pecos (Tract 957601) | $238K | $263K | +10.5% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957502) | $212K | $232K | +9.4% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957200) | $170K | $184K | +8.1% | |
| Pecos (Tract 957602) | $176K | $187K | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $197K | $212K | +8.1% | |
| Trementina area | $217K | $245K | +13.0% | |
| Pecos (Tract 957601) | $238K | $263K | +10.5% | |
| Pecos (Tract 957603) | $295K | $326K | +10.3% | |
| Las Vegas | $212K | $232K | +9.4% | |
| Villanueva | $124K | $136K | +9.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas | $197K | $212K | $112K | |
| Pecos | $176K | $187K | $111K | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957300) | $153K | $164K | $92K | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957200) | $170K | $184K | $82K | |
| Villanueva | $124K | $136K | $76K | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 957400) | $126K | $134K | $66K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.