Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
Las Vegas, NV · ZIP 89179 · Census Tract 32003005868 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$430K
Downside (P10)
$371K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$477K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$627K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $308K | $318K | $376K | $417K | $435K | $430K | $442K | $449K | $477K |
| YoY Change | +3.1% | +18.3% | +10.9% | +4.3% | -1.1% | +2.8% | +1.6% | +6.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $383K | $381K | $371K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $563K | $594K | $627K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$383K to $563K
40.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$371K to $627K
53.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enterprise · Las Vegas · (Tract 58.68) | $435K | $477K | +9.6% | |
| North Las Vegas (Tract 003632) | $428K | $487K | +13.8% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 003311) | $432K | $488K | +13.2% | |
| Enterprise | $431K | $467K | +8.4% | |
| North Las Vegas (Tract 003664) | $428K | $450K | +5.0% | |
| Las Vegas (Tract 003237) | $431K | $428K | -0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enterprise · Las Vegas · (Tract 58.68) | $435K | $477K | +9.6% | |
| Winchester | $219K | $268K | +22.2% | |
| Enterprise (Tract 002902) | $699K | $852K | +21.9% | |
| Las Vegas | $749K | $910K | +21.5% | |
| Enterprise (Tract 002845) | $374K | $453K | +21.1% | |
| North Las Vegas | $390K | $472K | +21.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enterprise · Las Vegas · (Tract 58.68) | $435K | $477K | $255K | |
| Spring Valley | $98K | $106K | $56K | |
| Paradise | $57K | $64K | $40K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.