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Chemung, NY · ZIP 14905 · Census Tract 36015000500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$110K
Downside (P10)
$90K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$114K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$157K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $94K | $94K | $93K | $94K | $94K | $98K | $97K | $108K | $100K | $109K | $110K | $113K | $113K | $114K |
| YoY Change | -0.7% | -0.5% | +1.2% | -0.4% | +4.6% | -0.8% | +11.0% | -7.4% | +9.2% | +0.5% | +2.5% | +0.1% | +1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $89K | $91K | $90K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $134K | $142K | $157K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$89K to $134K
40.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$90K to $157K
59.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elmira | $111K | $114K | +3.0% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000200) | $97K | $109K | +12.6% | |
| Horseheads (Tract 010600) | $123K | $134K | +9.6% | |
| Horseheads (Tract 010800) | $99K | $106K | +7.7% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000400) | $109K | $115K | +6.4% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000700) | $115K | $122K | +6.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elmira | $111K | $114K | +3.0% | |
| Horseheads | $152K | $172K | +13.0% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000200) | $97K | $109K | +12.6% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000100) | $63K | $71K | +12.5% | |
| Elmira (Tract 001100) | $94K | $105K | +11.0% | |
| Big Flats | $196K | $215K | +9.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elmira | $111K | $114K | $67K | |
| Elmira (Tract 001100) | $94K | $105K | $53K | |
| Elmira (Tract 000200) | $97K | $109K | $50K | |
| Horseheads | $99K | $106K | $48K | |
| Elmira (Tract 001000) | $68K | $73K | $43K | |
| Elmira (Tract 000100) | $63K | $71K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.