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Chemung, NY · ZIP 14901 · Census Tract 36015000700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$118K
Downside (P10)
$96K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$122K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$178K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $47K | $45K | $44K | $71K | $79K | $78K | $73K | $88K | $80K | $113K | $118K | $119K | $121K | $122K | $117K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$71,643 | -$73,143 | -$74,143 | -$46,843 | -$39,643 | -$39,843 | -$44,943 | -$30,643 | -$37,743 | -$5,243 | +$801 | +$2,564 | +$3,804 | -$1,586 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.6% | -61.9% | -62.8% | -39.6% | -33.6% | -33.7% | -38.0% | -25.9% | -31.9% | -4.4% | +0.7% | +2.2% | +3.2% | -1.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $102K | $98K | $96K | $104K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $140K | $154K | $178K | $132K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$102K to $140K
31.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$104K to $132K
24.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elmira | $115K | $122K | +6.1% | |
| Horseheads (Tract 010600) | $123K | $134K | +9.6% | |
| Horseheads (Tract 010500) | $126K | $137K | +8.4% | |
| Southport | $127K | $136K | +7.1% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000400) | $109K | $115K | +6.4% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000500) | $111K | $114K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elmira | $115K | $122K | +6.1% | |
| Horseheads | $152K | $172K | +13.0% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000200) | $97K | $109K | +12.6% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000100) | $63K | $71K | +12.5% | |
| Elmira (Tract 001100) | $94K | $105K | +11.0% | |
| Big Flats | $196K | $215K | +9.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elmira | $115K | $122K | $82K | |
| Elmira (Tract 001100) | $94K | $105K | $53K | |
| Elmira (Tract 000200) | $97K | $109K | $50K | |
| Horseheads | $99K | $106K | $48K | |
| Elmira (Tract 001000) | $68K | $73K | $43K | |
| Elmira (Tract 000100) | $63K | $71K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Chemung, NY · ZIP 14901 · Census Tract 36015000700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$118K
Downside (P10)
$96K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$122K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$178K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $47K | $45K | $44K | $71K | $79K | $78K | $73K | $88K | $80K | $113K | $118K | $119K | $121K | $122K | $117K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$71,643 | -$73,143 | -$74,143 | -$46,843 | -$39,643 | -$39,843 | -$44,943 | -$30,643 | -$37,743 | -$5,243 | +$801 | +$2,564 | +$3,804 | -$1,586 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.6% | -61.9% | -62.8% | -39.6% | -33.6% | -33.7% | -38.0% | -25.9% | -31.9% | -4.4% | +0.7% | +2.2% | +3.2% | -1.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $102K | $98K | $96K | $104K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $140K | $154K | $178K | $132K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$102K to $140K
31.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$104K to $132K
24.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elmira | $115K | $122K | +6.1% | |
| Horseheads (Tract 010600) | $123K | $134K | +9.6% | |
| Horseheads (Tract 010500) | $126K | $137K | +8.4% | |
| Southport | $127K | $136K | +7.1% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000400) | $109K | $115K | +6.4% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000500) | $111K | $114K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elmira | $115K | $122K | +6.1% | |
| Horseheads | $152K | $172K | +13.0% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000200) | $97K | $109K | +12.6% | |
| Elmira (Tract 000100) | $63K | $71K | +12.5% | |
| Elmira (Tract 001100) | $94K | $105K | +11.0% | |
| Big Flats | $196K | $215K | +9.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elmira | $115K | $122K | $82K | |
| Elmira (Tract 001100) | $94K | $105K | $53K | |
| Elmira (Tract 000200) | $97K | $109K | $50K | |
| Horseheads | $99K | $106K | $48K | |
| Elmira (Tract 001000) | $68K | $73K | $43K | |
| Elmira (Tract 000100) | $63K | $71K | $36K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
