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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 36126, NY · Census Tract 36126920009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$738K
Downside (P10)
$473K
-36% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$786K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.46M
+98% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -36% to +98%. The model forecasts this with 31% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $738K | $755K | $724K | $724K | $786K |
| YoY Change | +2.3% | -4.1% | -0.0% | +8.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $537K | $494K | $471K | $473K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.5M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$537K to $1.10M
74.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$473K to $1.46M
125.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920009 | $738K | $786K | +6.5% | |
| Tract 000000 | $621K | $783K | +26.1% | |
| Tract 800006 | $655K | $806K | +23.2% | |
| Tract 760007 | $658K | $797K | +21.1% | |
| Tract 680006 | $735K | $864K | +17.5% | |
| Tract 280008 | $737K | $844K | +14.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920009 | $738K | $786K | +6.5% | |
| Tract 160005 | $396K | $574K | +45.0% | |
| Tract 040002 | $441K | $637K | +44.5% | |
| Tract 960001 | $504K | $713K | +41.5% | |
| Tract 000000 | $621K | $783K | +26.1% | |
| Tract 800006 | $655K | $806K | +23.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920009 | $738K | $786K | $986K | |
| Tract 000000 | $621K | $783K | $714K | |
| Tract 320007 | $532K | $643K | $638K | |
| Tract 960001 | $504K | $713K | $597K | |
| Tract 040002 | $441K | $637K | $477K | |
| Tract 160005 | $396K | $574K | $399K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources