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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 36126, NY · Census Tract 36126280008 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$737K
Downside (P10)
$531K
-28% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$844K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.30M
+76% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -28% to +76%. The model forecasts this with 50% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $737K | $778K | $794K | $806K | $844K |
| YoY Change | +5.6% | +2.1% | +1.5% | +4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $605K | $542K | $544K | $531K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$605K to $1.03M
54.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$531K to $1.30M
90.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280008 | $737K | $844K | +14.5% | |
| Allegany area | $718K | $1.05M | +46.2% | |
| Sterling area | $752K | $905K | +20.3% | |
| Tract 680006 | $735K | $864K | +17.5% | |
| Tract 400007 | $751K | $810K | +7.8% | |
| Tract 920009 | $738K | $786K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280008 | $737K | $844K | +14.5% | |
| Wawarsing area | $425K | $664K | +56.2% | |
| Tract 600001 | $430K | $658K | +53.0% | |
| Windsor area | $465K | $710K | +52.8% | |
| Johnsburg area | $459K | $694K | +51.1% | |
| Tract 280000 | $313K | $472K | +50.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 280008 | $737K | $844K | $765K | |
| Johnsburg area | $406K | $568K | $411K | |
| Tract 080005 | $410K | $570K | $400K | |
| Tract 160005 | $396K | $574K | $399K | |
| Bronx area | $392K | $489K | $376K | |
| Tract 000009 | $316K | $417K | $355K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources