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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Cayuga, NY · Census Tract 36011640009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$752K
Downside (P10)
$577K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$905K
+20% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.37M
+82% by 2030
Base case: +20% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +82%. The model forecasts this with 52% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $752K | $804K | $811K | $832K | $905K |
| YoY Change | +6.9% | +0.8% | +2.6% | +8.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $612K | $589K | $555K | $577K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$612K to $1.04M
53.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$577K to $1.37M
87.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling area | $752K | $905K | +20.3% | |
| Tract 200009 | $750K | $844K | +12.5% | |
| Tract 400007 | $751K | $810K | +7.8% | |
| Tract 840003 | $751K | $806K | +7.4% | |
| Tract 880003 | $754K | $729K | -3.4% | |
| Tract 200002 | $753K | $711K | -5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling area | $752K | $905K | +20.3% | |
| Tract 280007 | $422K | $683K | +61.7% | |
| Tract 760004 (Tract 760004) | $401K | $639K | +59.2% | |
| Tract 760004 (Tract 760004) | $469K | $743K | +58.4% | |
| Tract 840002 | $435K | $689K | +58.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling area | $752K | $905K | $789K | |
| Tract 640005 | $76K | $105K | $89K | |
| Tract 680007 | $80K | $107K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources