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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 36613, NY · Census Tract 36613760002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.18M
Downside (P10)
$885K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.26M
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.85M
+57% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +5.0% | -4.6% | +1.3% | +5.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $916K | $872K | $885K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.8M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$1.01M to $1.58M
46.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$885K to $1.85M
76.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760002 | $1.18M | $1.26M | +6.7% | |
| Tract 680001 | $1.00M | $1.40M | +40.0% | |
| Tract 201008 | $747K | $688K | -7.9% | |
| Tract 620003 | $1.05M | $890K | -15.1% | |
| Tract 800001 | $760K | $642K | -15.5% | |
| Tract 360004 | $855K | $719K | -15.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760002 | $1.18M | $1.26M | +6.7% | |
| Tract 560008 | $544K | $783K | +43.8% | |
| Tract 640009 | $467K | $659K | +41.1% | |
| Tract 680001 | $1.00M | $1.40M | +40.0% | |
| Tract 840003 | $552K | $616K | +11.7% | |
| Tract 040007 | $707K | $728K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 760002 | $1.18M | $1.26M | $961K | |
| Tract 800001 | $760K | $642K | $790K | |
| Tract 840003 | $552K | $616K | $754K | |
| Tract 680001 | $1.00M | $1.40M | $716K | |
| Tract 560008 | $544K | $783K | $600K | |
| Tract 640009 | $467K | $659K | $487K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources