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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Queens, NY · ZIP 11411 · Census Tract 36081053401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$630K
Downside (P10)
$525K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$676K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$877K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $368K | $382K | $406K | $424K | $451K | $456K | $489K | $607K | $593K | $616K | $630K | $647K | $654K | $676K |
| YoY Change | +3.8% | +6.4% | +4.2% | +6.4% | +1.2% | +7.2% | +24.2% | -2.4% | +3.8% | +2.4% | +2.7% | +1.0% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $563K | $545K | $525K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $771K | $816K | $877K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$563K to $771K
32.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$525K to $877K
52.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $614K | $676K | +10.1% | |
| New York (Tract 058000) | $629K | $717K | +14.0% | |
| New York (Tract 000101) | $629K | $695K | +10.5% | |
| New York (Tract 016900) | $631K | $694K | +9.9% | |
| New York (Tract 019400) | $631K | $689K | +9.2% | |
| New York (Tract 018401) | $629K | $668K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $614K | $676K | +10.1% | |
| New York (Tract 045600) | $952K | $1.19M | +24.6% | |
| New York (Tract 085700) | $616K | $753K | +22.4% | |
| New York (Tract 060300) | $851K | $1.03M | +21.1% | |
| New York (Tract 162100) | $810K | $979K | +20.8% | |
| New York (Tract 060800) | $661K | $791K | +19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $614K | $676K | $353K | |
| New York (Tract 064101) | $310K | $335K | $143K | |
| New York (Tract 129103) | $299K | $333K | $137K | |
| New York (Tract 035100) | $319K | $345K | $135K | |
| New York (Tract 094203) | $168K | $193K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.