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Creek, OK · ZIP 74010 · Census Tract 40037021101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$187K
Downside (P10)
$166K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$199K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$245K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $83K | $84K | $87K | $104K | $111K | $116K | $133K | $149K | $178K | $179K | $187K | $186K | $193K | $199K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$104,786 | -$103,586 | -$100,486 | -$83,586 | -$76,086 | -$71,386 | -$54,686 | -$38,686 | -$9,286 | -$8,286 | -$966 | +$6,006 | +$11,483 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.9% | -55.3% | -53.7% | -44.6% | -40.6% | -38.1% | -29.2% | -20.7% | -5.0% | -4.4% | -0.5% | +3.2% | +6.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $170K | $163K | $166K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $215K | $233K | $245K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$170K to $215K
24.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$166K to $245K
39.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristow South | $182K | $199K | +9.0% | |
| Keystone Lake (Tract 020707) | $197K | $223K | +13.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020101) | $197K | $221K | +12.4% | |
| Shamrock-Heyburn Lake | $190K | $209K | +10.1% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020603) | $168K | $184K | +9.8% | |
| Keystone Lake (Tract 020706) | $197K | $214K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristow South | $182K | $199K | +9.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020102) | $55K | $65K | +17.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 021600) | $215K | $248K | +15.4% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 021500) | $232K | $265K | +14.0% | |
| Keystone Lake | $197K | $223K | +13.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020101) | $197K | $221K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristow South | $182K | $199K | $79K | |
| Keystone Lake | $122K | $134K | $84K | |
| Bristow | $132K | $143K | $80K | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020602) | $124K | $129K | $78K | |
| Drumright | $89K | $90K | $44K | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020102) | $55K | $65K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Creek, OK · ZIP 74010 · Census Tract 40037021101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$187K
Downside (P10)
$166K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$199K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$245K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $83K | $84K | $87K | $104K | $111K | $116K | $133K | $149K | $178K | $179K | $187K | $186K | $193K | $199K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$104,786 | -$103,586 | -$100,486 | -$83,586 | -$76,086 | -$71,386 | -$54,686 | -$38,686 | -$9,286 | -$8,286 | -$966 | +$6,006 | +$11,483 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.9% | -55.3% | -53.7% | -44.6% | -40.6% | -38.1% | -29.2% | -20.7% | -5.0% | -4.4% | -0.5% | +3.2% | +6.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $170K | $163K | $166K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $215K | $233K | $245K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$170K to $215K
24.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$166K to $245K
39.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristow South | $182K | $199K | +9.0% | |
| Keystone Lake (Tract 020707) | $197K | $223K | +13.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020101) | $197K | $221K | +12.4% | |
| Shamrock-Heyburn Lake | $190K | $209K | +10.1% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020603) | $168K | $184K | +9.8% | |
| Keystone Lake (Tract 020706) | $197K | $214K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristow South | $182K | $199K | +9.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020102) | $55K | $65K | +17.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 021600) | $215K | $248K | +15.4% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 021500) | $232K | $265K | +14.0% | |
| Keystone Lake | $197K | $223K | +13.0% | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020101) | $197K | $221K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristow South | $182K | $199K | $79K | |
| Keystone Lake | $122K | $134K | $84K | |
| Bristow | $132K | $143K | $80K | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020602) | $124K | $129K | $78K | |
| Drumright | $89K | $90K | $44K | |
| Sapulpa (Tract 020102) | $55K | $65K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
