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Deschutes, OR · ZIP 97759 · Census Tract 41017000601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$983K
Downside (P10)
$756K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.02M
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.27M
+30% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $547K | $578K | $729K | $873K | $944K | $983K | $989K | $1.0M | $1.0M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$435,691 | -$405,391 | -$254,091 | -$109,891 | -$39,391 | +$5,868 | +$49,671 | +$35,527 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.3% | -41.2% | -25.8% | -11.2% | -4.0% | +0.6% | +5.1% | +3.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $779K | $773K | $756K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$779K to $1.2M
38.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$756K to $1.3M
50.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tumalo | $959K | $1.02M | +6.2% | |
| Bend (Tract 001502) | $999K | $1.11M | +11.1% | |
| Bend (Tract 001901) | $936K | $1.04M | +10.8% | |
| Tumalo | $950K | $1.03M | +8.6% | |
| Bend (Tract 001102) | $955K | $1.02M | +6.9% | |
| Bend (Tract 001402) | $939K | $1.00M | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tumalo | $959K | $1.02M | +6.2% | |
| Bend (Tract 001702) | $599K | $718K | +19.8% | |
| Bend (Tract 002001) | $799K | $944K | +18.2% | |
| Redmond | $452K | $527K | +16.6% | |
| Bend (Tract 001602) | $678K | $784K | +15.6% | |
| Bend (Tract 002101) | $579K | $668K | +15.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tumalo | $959K | $1.02M | $518K | |
| Sisters-Millican (Tract 000301) | $484K | $555K | $258K | |
| Redmond (Tract 000902) | $429K | $462K | $232K | |
| Sisters-Millican (Tract 000201) | $378K | $411K | $225K | |
| Redmond (Tract 000901) | $405K | $413K | $208K | |
| Redmond (Tract 000701) | $445K | $467K | $193K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deschutes, OR · ZIP 97759 · Census Tract 41017000601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$983K
Downside (P10)
$756K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.02M
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.27M
+30% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $547K | $578K | $729K | $873K | $944K | $983K | $989K | $1.0M | $1.0M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$435,691 | -$405,391 | -$254,091 | -$109,891 | -$39,391 | +$5,868 | +$49,671 | +$35,527 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.3% | -41.2% | -25.8% | -11.2% | -4.0% | +0.6% | +5.1% | +3.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $779K | $773K | $756K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$779K to $1.2M
38.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$756K to $1.3M
50.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tumalo | $959K | $1.02M | +6.2% | |
| Bend (Tract 001502) | $999K | $1.11M | +11.1% | |
| Bend (Tract 001901) | $936K | $1.04M | +10.8% | |
| Tumalo | $950K | $1.03M | +8.6% | |
| Bend (Tract 001102) | $955K | $1.02M | +6.9% | |
| Bend (Tract 001402) | $939K | $1.00M | +6.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tumalo | $959K | $1.02M | +6.2% | |
| Bend (Tract 001702) | $599K | $718K | +19.8% | |
| Bend (Tract 002001) | $799K | $944K | +18.2% | |
| Redmond | $452K | $527K | +16.6% | |
| Bend (Tract 001602) | $678K | $784K | +15.6% | |
| Bend (Tract 002101) | $579K | $668K | +15.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tumalo | $959K | $1.02M | $518K | |
| Sisters-Millican (Tract 000301) | $484K | $555K | $258K | |
| Redmond (Tract 000902) | $429K | $462K | $232K | |
| Sisters-Millican (Tract 000201) | $378K | $411K | $225K | |
| Redmond (Tract 000901) | $405K | $413K | $208K | |
| Redmond (Tract 000701) | $445K | $467K | $193K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
