What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41017000601 in Tumalo?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $982,991 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41017000601 in Tumalo?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $982,991 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.6%.

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Parcel 41017000601 (Tumalo) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 41017000601, Tumalo Home Price Forecast

Deschutes, OR · ZIP 97759 · Census Tract 41017000601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$983K

Downside (P10)

$756K

-23% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.02M

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.27M

+30% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$547K	$578K	$729K	$873K	$944K	$983K	$989K	$1.0M	$1.0M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$435,691	-$405,391	-$254,091	-$109,891	-$39,391		+$5,868	+$49,671	+$35,527
Growth % vs 2026	-44.3%	-41.2%	-25.8%	-11.2%	-4.0%		+0.6%	+5.1%	+3.6%
Downside (P10)							$779K	$773K	$756K
Upside (P90)							$1.2M	$1.3M	$1.3M

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$779K to $1.2M

38.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$756K to $1.3M

50.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.6% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 41017000601, Tumalo on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).