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Portland, OR · ZIP 97213 · Census Tract 41051002801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$767K
Downside (P10)
$597K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$812K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.21M
+58% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 58% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $389K | $414K | $443K | $469K | $513K | $608K | $654K | $730K | $737K | $748K | $767K | $778K | $807K | $812K |
| YoY Change | +6.3% | +7.2% | +5.9% | +9.4% | +18.4% | +7.6% | +11.7% | +0.9% | +1.5% | +2.5% | +1.5% | +3.7% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $611K | $591K | $597K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $967K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$611K to $967K
45.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$597K to $1.21M
75.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $763K | $812K | +6.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 003502) | $771K | $881K | +14.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 000102) | $762K | $847K | +11.1% | |
| Portland (Tract 002203) | $736K | $794K | +7.9% | |
| Portland (Tract 001204) | $774K | $826K | +6.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 005902) | $772K | $813K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $763K | $812K | +6.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 003803) | $617K | $756K | +22.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 005201) | $542K | $652K | +20.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 004104) | $482K | $579K | +20.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 007202) | $475K | $564K | +18.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 003702) | $690K | $818K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $763K | $812K | $614K | |
| Gresham (Tract 010001) | $385K | $435K | $189K | |
| Gresham (Tract 009603) | $383K | $410K | $188K | |
| Portland (Tract 009501) | $458K | $478K | $169K | |
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | $150K | |
| Portland (Tract 005002) | $234K | $260K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.