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Portland, OR · ZIP 97202 · Census Tract 41051001000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$681K
Downside (P10)
$603K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$715K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+72% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +72%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $347K | $366K | $431K | $463K | $477K | $488K | $527K | $594K | $637K | $684K | $681K | $723K | $713K | $715K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$334,102 | -$315,002 | -$249,702 | -$218,102 | -$204,202 | -$193,302 | -$154,402 | -$86,702 | -$43,902 | +$3,498 | +$42,004 | +$32,064 | +$34,404 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.1% | -46.3% | -36.7% | -32.0% | -30.0% | -28.4% | -22.7% | -12.7% | -6.4% | +0.5% | +6.2% | +4.7% | +5.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $615K | $594K | $603K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $919K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$615K to $919K
42.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$603K to $1.2M
79.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $679K | $715K | +5.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 001802) | $675K | $769K | +13.9% | |
| Portland (Tract 003302) | $679K | $720K | +6.1% | |
| Portland (Tract 003401) | $675K | $697K | +3.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 002802) | $685K | $706K | +3.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 002702) | $689K | $703K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $679K | $715K | +5.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 003803) | $617K | $756K | +22.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 005201) | $542K | $652K | +20.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 004104) | $482K | $579K | +20.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 007202) | $475K | $564K | +18.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 003702) | $690K | $818K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $679K | $715K | $572K | |
| Portland (Tract 008500) | $443K | $471K | $203K | |
| Portland (Tract 008400) | $425K | $455K | $202K | |
| Portland (Tract 008100) | $421K | $484K | $201K | |
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | $150K | |
| Portland (Tract 005002) | $234K | $260K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Portland, OR · ZIP 97202 · Census Tract 41051001000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$681K
Downside (P10)
$603K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$715K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+72% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +72%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $347K | $366K | $431K | $463K | $477K | $488K | $527K | $594K | $637K | $684K | $681K | $723K | $713K | $715K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$334,102 | -$315,002 | -$249,702 | -$218,102 | -$204,202 | -$193,302 | -$154,402 | -$86,702 | -$43,902 | +$3,498 | +$42,004 | +$32,064 | +$34,404 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.1% | -46.3% | -36.7% | -32.0% | -30.0% | -28.4% | -22.7% | -12.7% | -6.4% | +0.5% | +6.2% | +4.7% | +5.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $615K | $594K | $603K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $919K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$615K to $919K
42.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$603K to $1.2M
79.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $679K | $715K | +5.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 001802) | $675K | $769K | +13.9% | |
| Portland (Tract 003302) | $679K | $720K | +6.1% | |
| Portland (Tract 003401) | $675K | $697K | +3.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 002802) | $685K | $706K | +3.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 002702) | $689K | $703K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $679K | $715K | +5.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 003803) | $617K | $756K | +22.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 005201) | $542K | $652K | +20.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 004104) | $482K | $579K | +20.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 007202) | $475K | $564K | +18.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 003702) | $690K | $818K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $679K | $715K | $572K | |
| Portland (Tract 008500) | $443K | $471K | $203K | |
| Portland (Tract 008400) | $425K | $455K | $202K | |
| Portland (Tract 008100) | $421K | $484K | $201K | |
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | $150K | |
| Portland (Tract 005002) | $234K | $260K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
