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Portland, OR · ZIP 97209 · Census Tract 41051005001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$430K
Downside (P10)
$361K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$456K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$583K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $439K | $423K | $483K | $501K | $428K | $430K | $450K | $462K | $456K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$8,916 | -$7,384 | +$53,316 | +$71,116 | -$2,184 | +$19,889 | +$32,250 | +$25,953 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +2.1% | -1.7% | +12.4% | +16.5% | -0.5% | +4.6% | +7.5% | +6.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $367K | $368K | $361K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $554K | $563K | $583K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$367K to $554K
41.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$361K to $583K
48.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $424K | $456K | +7.6% | |
| Portland (Tract 005202) | $424K | $498K | +17.6% | |
| Portland (Tract 009102) | $435K | $500K | +14.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 008600) | $428K | $461K | +7.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 008400) | $425K | $455K | +7.1% | |
| Portland (Tract 009101) | $436K | $458K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $424K | $456K | +7.6% | |
| Portland (Tract 003803) | $617K | $756K | +22.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 005201) | $542K | $652K | +20.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 004104) | $482K | $579K | +20.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 007202) | $475K | $564K | +18.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 003702) | $690K | $818K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $424K | $456K | $223K | |
| Portland (Tract 008500) | $443K | $471K | $203K | |
| Portland (Tract 008400) | $425K | $455K | $202K | |
| Portland (Tract 008100) | $421K | $484K | $201K | |
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | $150K | |
| Portland (Tract 005002) | $234K | $260K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Portland, OR · ZIP 97209 · Census Tract 41051005001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$430K
Downside (P10)
$361K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$456K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$583K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $439K | $423K | $483K | $501K | $428K | $430K | $450K | $462K | $456K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$8,916 | -$7,384 | +$53,316 | +$71,116 | -$2,184 | +$19,889 | +$32,250 | +$25,953 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +2.1% | -1.7% | +12.4% | +16.5% | -0.5% | +4.6% | +7.5% | +6.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $367K | $368K | $361K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $554K | $563K | $583K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$367K to $554K
41.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$361K to $583K
48.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $424K | $456K | +7.6% | |
| Portland (Tract 005202) | $424K | $498K | +17.6% | |
| Portland (Tract 009102) | $435K | $500K | +14.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 008600) | $428K | $461K | +7.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 008400) | $425K | $455K | +7.1% | |
| Portland (Tract 009101) | $436K | $458K | +4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $424K | $456K | +7.6% | |
| Portland (Tract 003803) | $617K | $756K | +22.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 005201) | $542K | $652K | +20.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 004104) | $482K | $579K | +20.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 007202) | $475K | $564K | +18.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 003702) | $690K | $818K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | $424K | $456K | $223K | |
| Portland (Tract 008500) | $443K | $471K | $203K | |
| Portland (Tract 008400) | $425K | $455K | $202K | |
| Portland (Tract 008100) | $421K | $484K | $201K | |
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | $150K | |
| Portland (Tract 005002) | $234K | $260K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
