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Portland, OR · ZIP 97221 · Census Tract 41051006801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$874K
Downside (P10)
$745K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$951K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.22M
+40% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $546K | $595K | $637K | $665K | $662K | $660K | $683K | $764K | $838K | $841K | $874K | $880K | $894K | $951K | $872K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$327,525 | -$278,525 | -$236,725 | -$208,325 | -$211,625 | -$213,325 | -$190,825 | -$109,925 | -$35,825 | -$32,625 | +$6,483 | +$20,225 | +$77,532 | -$1,645 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.5% | -31.9% | -27.1% | -23.8% | -24.2% | -24.4% | -21.8% | -12.6% | -4.1% | -3.7% | +0.7% | +2.3% | +8.9% | -0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $769K | $756K | $745K | $760K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $989K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$769K to $1.1M
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$760K to $989K
26.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland West | $851K | $951K | +11.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 004500) | $886K | $1.02M | +15.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 007001) | $877K | $982K | +12.0% | |
| Portland (Tract 002502) | $870K | $973K | +11.7% | |
| Portland (Tract 006100) | $877K | $934K | +6.4% | |
| Skyline | $854K | $896K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland West | $851K | $951K | +11.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 003803) | $617K | $756K | +22.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 005201) | $542K | $652K | +20.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 004104) | $482K | $579K | +20.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 007202) | $475K | $564K | +18.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 003702) | $690K | $818K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland West | $851K | $951K | $479K | |
| Portland (Tract 008500) | $443K | $471K | $203K | |
| Portland (Tract 008400) | $425K | $455K | $202K | |
| Portland (Tract 008100) | $421K | $484K | $201K | |
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | $150K | |
| Portland (Tract 005002) | $234K | $260K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Portland, OR · ZIP 97221 · Census Tract 41051006801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$874K
Downside (P10)
$745K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$951K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.22M
+40% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $546K | $595K | $637K | $665K | $662K | $660K | $683K | $764K | $838K | $841K | $874K | $880K | $894K | $951K | $872K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$327,525 | -$278,525 | -$236,725 | -$208,325 | -$211,625 | -$213,325 | -$190,825 | -$109,925 | -$35,825 | -$32,625 | +$6,483 | +$20,225 | +$77,532 | -$1,645 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.5% | -31.9% | -27.1% | -23.8% | -24.2% | -24.4% | -21.8% | -12.6% | -4.1% | -3.7% | +0.7% | +2.3% | +8.9% | -0.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $769K | $756K | $745K | $760K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $989K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$769K to $1.1M
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$760K to $989K
26.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland West | $851K | $951K | +11.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 004500) | $886K | $1.02M | +15.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 007001) | $877K | $982K | +12.0% | |
| Portland (Tract 002502) | $870K | $973K | +11.7% | |
| Portland (Tract 006100) | $877K | $934K | +6.4% | |
| Skyline | $854K | $896K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland West | $851K | $951K | +11.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 003803) | $617K | $756K | +22.5% | |
| Portland (Tract 005201) | $542K | $652K | +20.3% | |
| Portland (Tract 004104) | $482K | $579K | +20.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 007202) | $475K | $564K | +18.8% | |
| Portland (Tract 003702) | $690K | $818K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland West | $851K | $951K | $479K | |
| Portland (Tract 008500) | $443K | $471K | $203K | |
| Portland (Tract 008400) | $425K | $455K | $202K | |
| Portland (Tract 008100) | $421K | $484K | $201K | |
| Portland East | $279K | $301K | $150K | |
| Portland (Tract 005002) | $234K | $260K | $114K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
