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Arecibo Municipio, PR · ZIP 00616 · Census Tract 72013302000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$110K
Downside (P10)
$92K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$120K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$159K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $112K | $119K | $112K | $110K | $110K | $108K | $91K | $106K | $103K | $110K | $110K | $109K | $114K | $120K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$2,073 | +$9,673 | +$2,173 | -$27 | +$273 | -$1,427 | -$18,327 | -$3,927 | -$6,327 | +$673 | -$203 | +$4,575 | +$10,510 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +1.9% | +8.8% | +2.0% | -0.0% | +0.2% | -1.3% | -16.7% | -3.6% | -5.8% | +0.6% | -0.2% | +4.2% | +9.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $92K | $92K | $92K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $130K | $142K | $159K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$92K to $130K
34.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$92K to $159K
55.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bajadero | $109K | $120K | +9.8% | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $108K | $121K | +12.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301600) | $112K | $122K | +8.6% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300200) | $114K | $121K | +6.2% | |
| Bajadero | $108K | $111K | +2.9% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300800) | $113K | $115K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bajadero | $109K | $120K | +9.8% | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $108K | $121K | +12.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301300) | $94K | $104K | +9.9% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300700) | $89K | $98K | +9.5% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300101) | $125K | $136K | +9.0% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301600) | $112K | $122K | +8.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bajadero | $109K | $120K | $67K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300400) | $97K | $100K | $57K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301100) | $117K | $125K | $55K | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $81K | $82K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301200) | $105K | $112K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301400) | $90K | $93K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Arecibo Municipio, PR · ZIP 00616 · Census Tract 72013302000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$110K
Downside (P10)
$92K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$120K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$159K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $112K | $119K | $112K | $110K | $110K | $108K | $91K | $106K | $103K | $110K | $110K | $109K | $114K | $120K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$2,073 | +$9,673 | +$2,173 | -$27 | +$273 | -$1,427 | -$18,327 | -$3,927 | -$6,327 | +$673 | -$203 | +$4,575 | +$10,510 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +1.9% | +8.8% | +2.0% | -0.0% | +0.2% | -1.3% | -16.7% | -3.6% | -5.8% | +0.6% | -0.2% | +4.2% | +9.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $92K | $92K | $92K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $130K | $142K | $159K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$92K to $130K
34.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$92K to $159K
55.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bajadero | $109K | $120K | +9.8% | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $108K | $121K | +12.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301600) | $112K | $122K | +8.6% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300200) | $114K | $121K | +6.2% | |
| Bajadero | $108K | $111K | +2.9% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300800) | $113K | $115K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bajadero | $109K | $120K | +9.8% | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $108K | $121K | +12.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301300) | $94K | $104K | +9.9% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300700) | $89K | $98K | +9.5% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300101) | $125K | $136K | +9.0% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301600) | $112K | $122K | +8.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bajadero | $109K | $120K | $67K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300400) | $97K | $100K | $57K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301100) | $117K | $125K | $55K | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $81K | $82K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301200) | $105K | $112K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301400) | $90K | $93K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
