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Arecibo Municipio, PR · ZIP 00688 · Census Tract 72013302201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$82K
Downside (P10)
$68K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$82K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$120K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $89K | $94K | $83K | $91K | $92K | $89K | $80K | $90K | $94K | $78K | $82K | $83K | $83K | $82K |
| YoY Change | +6.1% | -11.8% | +9.7% | +1.3% | -3.4% | -9.9% | +12.5% | +4.7% | -17.1% | +4.1% | +1.7% | +0.5% | -1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $70K | $71K | $68K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $102K | $113K | $120K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$70K to $102K
37.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$68K to $120K
62.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabana Hoyos | $81K | $82K | +1.9% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301300) | $94K | $104K | +9.9% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300700) | $89K | $98K | +9.5% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301400) | $90K | $93K | +3.7% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301900) | $87K | $89K | +2.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300400) | $97K | $100K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabana Hoyos | $81K | $82K | +1.9% | |
| Sabana Hoyos | $108K | $121K | +12.4% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301300) | $94K | $104K | +9.9% | |
| Bajadero | $109K | $120K | +9.8% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300700) | $89K | $98K | +9.5% | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300101) | $125K | $136K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabana Hoyos | $81K | $82K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301000) | $124K | $131K | $59K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 300400) | $97K | $100K | $57K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301100) | $117K | $125K | $55K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301200) | $105K | $112K | $51K | |
| Arecibo (Tract 301400) | $90K | $93K | $49K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.