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Newport, RI · ZIP 02878 · Census Tract 44005041702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$488K
Downside (P10)
$433K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$523K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$665K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $299K | $291K | $294K | $294K | $295K | $321K | $327K | $387K | $453K | $479K | $488K | $515K | $517K | $523K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$189,354 | -$197,454 | -$194,154 | -$193,754 | -$193,254 | -$167,154 | -$160,854 | -$101,454 | -$34,754 | -$8,854 | +$26,543 | +$28,561 | +$34,538 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.8% | -40.4% | -39.8% | -39.7% | -39.6% | -34.2% | -33.0% | -20.8% | -7.1% | -1.8% | +5.4% | +5.9% | +7.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $444K | $452K | $433K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $609K | $675K | $665K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$444K to $609K
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$433K to $665K
44.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiverton | $485K | $523K | +7.7% | |
| Middletown | $464K | $511K | +10.1% | |
| Newport East | $421K | $455K | +8.2% | |
| Tiverton | $451K | $477K | +5.8% | |
| Portsmouth | $473K | $494K | +4.5% | |
| Newport | $568K | $591K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiverton | $485K | $523K | +7.7% | |
| Newport (Tract 040800) | $972K | $1.11M | +13.8% | |
| Newport (Tract 040600) | $637K | $725K | +13.7% | |
| Newport (Tract 041100) | $977K | $1.10M | +13.0% | |
| Tiverton | $368K | $413K | +12.0% | |
| Newport (Tract 040900) | $938K | $1.03M | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiverton | $485K | $523K | $232K | |
| Portsmouth | $473K | $494K | $259K | |
| Tiverton (Tract 041701) | $342K | $375K | $253K | |
| Tiverton (Tract 041601) | $368K | $413K | $245K | |
| Newport | $692K | $749K | $240K | |
| Newport East | $421K | $455K | $209K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Newport, RI · ZIP 02878 · Census Tract 44005041702 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$488K
Downside (P10)
$433K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$523K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$665K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $299K | $291K | $294K | $294K | $295K | $321K | $327K | $387K | $453K | $479K | $488K | $515K | $517K | $523K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$189,354 | -$197,454 | -$194,154 | -$193,754 | -$193,254 | -$167,154 | -$160,854 | -$101,454 | -$34,754 | -$8,854 | +$26,543 | +$28,561 | +$34,538 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.8% | -40.4% | -39.8% | -39.7% | -39.6% | -34.2% | -33.0% | -20.8% | -7.1% | -1.8% | +5.4% | +5.9% | +7.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $444K | $452K | $433K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $609K | $675K | $665K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$444K to $609K
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$433K to $665K
44.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiverton | $485K | $523K | +7.7% | |
| Middletown | $464K | $511K | +10.1% | |
| Newport East | $421K | $455K | +8.2% | |
| Tiverton | $451K | $477K | +5.8% | |
| Portsmouth | $473K | $494K | +4.5% | |
| Newport | $568K | $591K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiverton | $485K | $523K | +7.7% | |
| Newport (Tract 040800) | $972K | $1.11M | +13.8% | |
| Newport (Tract 040600) | $637K | $725K | +13.7% | |
| Newport (Tract 041100) | $977K | $1.10M | +13.0% | |
| Tiverton | $368K | $413K | +12.0% | |
| Newport (Tract 040900) | $938K | $1.03M | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiverton | $485K | $523K | $232K | |
| Portsmouth | $473K | $494K | $259K | |
| Tiverton (Tract 041701) | $342K | $375K | $253K | |
| Tiverton (Tract 041601) | $368K | $413K | $245K | |
| Newport | $692K | $749K | $240K | |
| Newport East | $421K | $455K | $209K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
