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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
York, SC · ZIP 29708 · Census Tract 45091061004 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$633K
Downside (P10)
$549K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$674K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$950K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $325K | $320K | $349K | $358K | $376K | $393K | $428K | $481K | $535K | $645K | $633K | $650K | $653K | $674K | $671K |
| YoY Change | -1.8% | +9.1% | +2.6% | +5.0% | +4.7% | +8.8% | +12.3% | +11.3% | +20.5% | -1.8% | +2.6% | +0.5% | +3.2% | -0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $549K | $527K | $549K | $595K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $830K | $873K | $950K | $748K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$549K to $830K
43.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$595K to $748K
22.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Mill | $642K | $674K | +4.9% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061008) | $579K | $648K | +12.0% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061012) | $501K | $558K | +11.5% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061009) | $533K | $582K | +9.1% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061010) | $515K | $545K | +5.8% | |
| Clover | $515K | $543K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Mill | $642K | $674K | +4.9% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061011) | $422K | $501K | +18.6% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060102) | $353K | $417K | +18.1% | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060200) | $201K | $237K | +17.9% | |
| Clover | $359K | $420K | +16.8% | |
| Fort Mill (Tract 061104) | $493K | $569K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Mill | $642K | $674K | $401K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060401) | $152K | $166K | $112K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060908) | $211K | $224K | $103K | |
| York | $176K | $180K | $102K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060300) | $130K | $140K | $96K | |
| Rock Hill (Tract 060501) | $171K | $171K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.