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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 46372, SD · Census Tract 46372960405 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$2.52M
Downside (P10)
$946K
-62% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.70M
-32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.31M
-8% by 2030
Base case: -32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -62% to -8%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.5M | $2.5M | $2.1M | $1.8M | $1.7M |
| YoY Change | -1.2% | -16.2% | -13.4% | -5.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.5M | $1.2M | $1.0M | $946K | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.0M | $2.7M | $2.4M | $2.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$1.47M to $3.01M
61.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$946K to $2.31M
80.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960405 | $2.52M | $1.70M | -32.4% | |
| Tract 880006 | $813K | $961K | +18.1% | |
| Tract 960104 | $1.15M | $1.24M | +7.6% | |
| Tract 200000 | $510K | $511K | +0.2% | |
| Tract 680002 | $939K | $914K | -2.6% | |
| Tract 840004 | $1.69M | $1.48M | -12.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960405 | $2.52M | $1.70M | -32.4% | |
| Tract 360005 | $362K | $443K | +22.4% | |
| Tract 880006 | $813K | $961K | +18.1% | |
| Tract 440006 | $356K | $420K | +17.8% | |
| Tract 560009 | $368K | $420K | +14.0% | |
| Tract 960104 | $1.15M | $1.24M | +7.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960405 | $2.52M | $1.70M | $1.37M | |
| Tract 680002 | $939K | $914K | $679K | |
| Tract 200000 | $510K | $511K | $595K | |
| Tract 560009 | $368K | $420K | $418K | |
| Tract 360005 | $362K | $443K | $380K | |
| Tract 440006 | $356K | $420K | $331K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources