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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 46686, SD · Census Tract 46686005247 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$459K
Downside (P10)
$554K
+21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$822K
+79% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.28M
+178% by 2030
Base case: +79% by 2030, with a forecast range from +21% to +178%. The model forecasts this with 52% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $459K | $561K | $613K | $668K | $822K |
| YoY Change | +22.3% | +9.1% | +9.1% | +23.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $454K | $461K | $485K | $554K | |
| Upside (P90) | $709K | $858K | $983K | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$454K to $709K
45.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$554K to $1.28M
87.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005247 | $459K | $822K | +78.9% | |
| Tract 004824 | $462K | $838K | +81.4% | |
| Tract 004280 | $455K | $804K | +76.7% | |
| Tract 003621 | $458K | $635K | +38.6% | |
| Tract 003388 | $450K | $596K | +32.3% | |
| Tract 002787 | $465K | $605K | +30.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005247 | $459K | $822K | +78.9% | |
| Tract 004264 | $504K | $975K | +93.5% | |
| Tract 004329 | $489K | $910K | +86.1% | |
| Tract 005182 | $437K | $808K | +84.7% | |
| Tract 004442 | $509K | $926K | +81.8% | |
| Tract 005328 | $520K | $945K | +81.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 005247 | $459K | $822K | $721K | |
| Tract 003304 | $431K | $547K | $287K | |
| Tract 003566 | $421K | $536K | $260K | |
| Tract 003045 | $397K | $484K | $256K | |
| Tract 003346 | $380K | $483K | $249K | |
| Tract 003582 | $404K | $529K | $243K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources