Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Knox, TN · ZIP 37920 · Census Tract 47093000800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$164K
Downside (P10)
$141K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$178K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$224K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $80K | $84K | $84K | $88K | $91K | $87K | $84K | $145K | $159K | $161K | $164K | $172K | $171K | $178K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$84,545 | -$80,745 | -$80,645 | -$76,245 | -$73,345 | -$77,345 | -$80,345 | -$19,345 | -$5,345 | -$3,645 | +$7,833 | +$6,960 | +$13,802 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.5% | -49.2% | -49.1% | -46.4% | -44.7% | -47.1% | -48.9% | -11.8% | -3.3% | -2.2% | +4.8% | +4.2% | +8.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $152K | $144K | $141K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $191K | $203K | $224K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$152K to $191K
22.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$141K to $224K
47.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knoxville | $165K | $178K | +8.0% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 001900) | $159K | $185K | +16.6% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 003200) | $170K | $191K | +12.1% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 002800) | $173K | $190K | +10.0% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 002000) | $165K | $174K | +5.4% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 003902) | $164K | $170K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knoxville | $165K | $178K | +8.0% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 003700) | $420K | $499K | +18.8% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 002900) | $173K | $204K | +18.0% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 001900) | $159K | $185K | +16.6% | |
| 7 | $302K | $350K | +16.1% | |
| 6 | $517K | $595K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knoxville | $165K | $178K | $84K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 002600) | $144K | $153K | $90K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 003200) | $170K | $191K | $88K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 001900) | $159K | $185K | $81K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 002700) | $153K | $159K | $77K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 001400) | $119K | $135K | $72K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Knox, TN · ZIP 37920 · Census Tract 47093000800 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$164K
Downside (P10)
$141K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$178K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$224K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $80K | $84K | $84K | $88K | $91K | $87K | $84K | $145K | $159K | $161K | $164K | $172K | $171K | $178K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$84,545 | -$80,745 | -$80,645 | -$76,245 | -$73,345 | -$77,345 | -$80,345 | -$19,345 | -$5,345 | -$3,645 | +$7,833 | +$6,960 | +$13,802 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -51.5% | -49.2% | -49.1% | -46.4% | -44.7% | -47.1% | -48.9% | -11.8% | -3.3% | -2.2% | +4.8% | +4.2% | +8.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $152K | $144K | $141K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $191K | $203K | $224K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$152K to $191K
22.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$141K to $224K
47.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knoxville | $165K | $178K | +8.0% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 001900) | $159K | $185K | +16.6% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 003200) | $170K | $191K | +12.1% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 002800) | $173K | $190K | +10.0% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 002000) | $165K | $174K | +5.4% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 003902) | $164K | $170K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knoxville | $165K | $178K | +8.0% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 003700) | $420K | $499K | +18.8% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 002900) | $173K | $204K | +18.0% | |
| Knoxville (Tract 001900) | $159K | $185K | +16.6% | |
| 7 | $302K | $350K | +16.1% | |
| 6 | $517K | $595K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knoxville | $165K | $178K | $84K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 002600) | $144K | $153K | $90K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 003200) | $170K | $191K | $88K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 001900) | $159K | $185K | $81K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 002700) | $153K | $159K | $77K | |
| Knoxville (Tract 001400) | $119K | $135K | $72K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
