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Nashville, TN · ZIP 37211 · Census Tract 47037017200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$529K
Downside (P10)
$442K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$551K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$776K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $120K | $161K | $186K | $201K | $212K | $212K | $238K | $330K | $349K | $514K | $529K | $553K | $560K | $551K | $540K |
| YoY Change | +33.9% | +15.4% | +8.1% | +5.9% | -0.3% | +12.4% | +38.8% | +5.5% | +47.6% | +2.9% | +4.5% | +1.3% | -1.6% | -2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $465K | $449K | $442K | $480K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $686K | $727K | $776K | $608K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$465K to $686K
39.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$480K to $608K
23.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | $518K | $551K | +6.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013702) | $544K | $659K | +21.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013500) | $518K | $601K | +16.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 011600) | $517K | $564K | +9.0% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018302) | $523K | $556K | +6.2% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 019502) | $532K | $559K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | $518K | $551K | +6.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013702) | $544K | $659K | +21.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013701) | $441K | $520K | +17.8% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018803) | $545K | $634K | +16.4% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018410) | $306K | $355K | +16.2% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013500) | $518K | $601K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | $518K | $551K | $334K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015629) | $264K | $280K | $140K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010801) | $262K | $278K | $125K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015615) | $226K | $262K | $107K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010904) | $264K | $270K | $95K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010403) | $159K | $172K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.