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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Nashville, TN · ZIP 37211 · Census Tract 47037017402 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$382K
Downside (P10)
$302K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$407K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$627K
+64% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +64%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $136K | $154K | $162K | $182K | $223K | $238K | $261K | $324K | $370K | $377K | $382K | $392K | $398K | $407K |
| YoY Change | +13.4% | +5.1% | +12.3% | +22.6% | +6.7% | +9.7% | +23.8% | +14.3% | +1.9% | +1.3% | +2.8% | +1.3% | +2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $313K | $307K | $302K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $467K | $549K | $627K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$313K to $467K
39.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$302K to $627K
80.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antioch | $383K | $407K | +6.2% | |
| North Nashville | $380K | $429K | +12.7% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015626) | $380K | $423K | +11.3% | |
| South Nashville | $378K | $413K | +9.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015401) | $382K | $413K | +8.1% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015402) | $384K | $378K | -1.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antioch | $383K | $407K | +6.2% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 013702) | $544K | $659K | +21.1% | |
| Germantown | $441K | $520K | +17.8% | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 018803) | $545K | $634K | +16.4% | |
| Bellevue | $306K | $355K | +16.2% | |
| The Nations | $518K | $601K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antioch | $383K | $407K | $325K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015629) | $264K | $280K | $140K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010801) | $262K | $278K | $125K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 015615) | $226K | $262K | $107K | |
| North Nashville | $264K | $270K | $95K | |
| Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) (Tract 010403) | $159K | $172K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.