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Brazoria, TX · ZIP 77531 · Census Tract 48039663700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$241K
Downside (P10)
$187K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$247K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$345K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $124K | $124K | $144K | $151K | $167K | $157K | $181K | $217K | $228K | $235K | $241K | $244K | $249K | $247K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$117,494 | -$117,094 | -$96,794 | -$90,594 | -$73,994 | -$83,894 | -$59,994 | -$23,994 | -$13,494 | -$5,694 | +$3,147 | +$7,470 | +$5,714 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.7% | -48.6% | -40.1% | -37.6% | -30.7% | -34.8% | -24.9% | -10.0% | -5.6% | -2.4% | +1.3% | +3.1% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $202K | $191K | $187K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $327K | $324K | $345K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$202K to $327K
50.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$187K to $345K
63.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richwood | $240K | $247K | +2.9% | |
| Angleton (Tract 662100) | $244K | $278K | +14.0% | |
| Alvin-Pearland | $237K | $271K | +14.0% | |
| Brazosport | $238K | $268K | +12.5% | |
| Angleton (Tract 661901) | $245K | $274K | +11.6% | |
| Angleton (Tract 662200) | $234K | $253K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richwood | $240K | $247K | +2.9% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660615) | $297K | $357K | +20.1% | |
| Pearland | $334K | $397K | +18.9% | |
| Angleton | $399K | $466K | +16.7% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660707) | $342K | $397K | +16.0% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660501) | $368K | $420K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richwood | $240K | $247K | $158K | |
| Clute | $154K | $163K | $86K | |
| Alvin-Pearland | $165K | $175K | $86K | |
| Alvin | $158K | $167K | $85K | |
| Brazosport | $146K | $162K | $67K | |
| Freeport | $127K | $138K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Brazoria, TX · ZIP 77531 · Census Tract 48039663700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$241K
Downside (P10)
$187K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$247K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$345K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $124K | $124K | $144K | $151K | $167K | $157K | $181K | $217K | $228K | $235K | $241K | $244K | $249K | $247K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$117,494 | -$117,094 | -$96,794 | -$90,594 | -$73,994 | -$83,894 | -$59,994 | -$23,994 | -$13,494 | -$5,694 | +$3,147 | +$7,470 | +$5,714 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.7% | -48.6% | -40.1% | -37.6% | -30.7% | -34.8% | -24.9% | -10.0% | -5.6% | -2.4% | +1.3% | +3.1% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $202K | $191K | $187K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $327K | $324K | $345K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$202K to $327K
50.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$187K to $345K
63.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richwood | $240K | $247K | +2.9% | |
| Angleton (Tract 662100) | $244K | $278K | +14.0% | |
| Alvin-Pearland | $237K | $271K | +14.0% | |
| Brazosport | $238K | $268K | +12.5% | |
| Angleton (Tract 661901) | $245K | $274K | +11.6% | |
| Angleton (Tract 662200) | $234K | $253K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richwood | $240K | $247K | +2.9% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660615) | $297K | $357K | +20.1% | |
| Pearland | $334K | $397K | +18.9% | |
| Angleton | $399K | $466K | +16.7% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660707) | $342K | $397K | +16.0% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660501) | $368K | $420K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richwood | $240K | $247K | $158K | |
| Clute | $154K | $163K | $86K | |
| Alvin-Pearland | $165K | $175K | $86K | |
| Alvin | $158K | $167K | $85K | |
| Brazosport | $146K | $162K | $67K | |
| Freeport | $127K | $138K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
