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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Brazoria, TX · ZIP 77584 · Census Tract 48039660607 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$416K
Downside (P10)
$341K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$438K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$557K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $282K | $317K | $377K | $405K | $402K | $416K | $422K | $428K | $438K |
| YoY Change | +12.4% | +19.1% | +7.4% | -0.8% | +3.4% | +1.5% | +1.4% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $357K | $348K | $341K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $502K | $524K | $557K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$357K to $502K
34.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$341K to $557K
49.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearland | $407K | $438K | +7.7% | |
| Angleton | $399K | $466K | +16.7% | |
| Pearland | $418K | $478K | +14.2% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660708) | $406K | $442K | +8.9% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660611) | $424K | $457K | +7.7% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660704) | $421K | $433K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearland | $407K | $438K | +7.7% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660615) | $297K | $357K | +20.1% | |
| Pearland | $334K | $397K | +18.9% | |
| Angleton | $399K | $466K | +16.7% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660707) | $342K | $397K | +16.0% | |
| Alvin-Pearland (Tract 660501) | $368K | $420K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearland | $407K | $438K | $216K | |
| Clute | $154K | $163K | $86K | |
| Alvin-Pearland | $165K | $175K | $86K | |
| Alvin | $158K | $167K | $85K | |
| Brazosport | $146K | $162K | $67K | |
| Freeport | $127K | $138K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.