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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Fort Bend, TX · ZIP 77494 · Census Tract 48157673106 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$487K
Downside (P10)
$425K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$491K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$693K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $378K | $382K | $470K | $477K | $486K | $487K | $488K | $492K | $491K | $509K |
| YoY Change | +0.8% | +23.3% | +1.4% | +1.9% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +3.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $430K | $435K | $425K | $459K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $626K | $628K | $693K | $566K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$430K to $626K
40.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$459K to $566K
21.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cinco Ranch · Katy · (Tract 6731.6) | $492K | $491K | -0.2% | |
| Fulshear-Simonton | $492K | $569K | +15.7% | |
| Sugar Land (Tract 672901) | $486K | $539K | +10.9% | |
| Cinco Ranch | $487K | $527K | +8.2% | |
| Sugar Land (Tract 671700) | $478K | $502K | +5.1% | |
| Richmond | $483K | $504K | +4.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cinco Ranch · Katy · (Tract 6731.6) | $492K | $491K | -0.2% | |
| Richmond | $678K | $847K | +24.9% | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $130K | $156K | +19.5% | |
| Cinco Ranch | $624K | $743K | +19.1% | |
| Sugar Land | $352K | $414K | +17.9% | |
| Needville | $330K | $389K | +17.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cinco Ranch · Katy · (Tract 6731.6) | $492K | $491K | $269K | |
| Rosenberg | $185K | $190K | $89K | |
| Fort Bend (Tract 670201) | $190K | $207K | $87K | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $130K | $156K | $86K | |
| Rosenberg-Richmond | $144K | $166K | $83K | |
| Fort Bend (Tract 670101) | $173K | $190K | $66K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.