Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Fort Bend, TX · ZIP 77489 · Census Tract 48157670400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$479K
Downside (P10)
$405K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$775K
+62% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+150% by 2030
Base case: +62% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +150%. The model forecasts this with 44% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $93K | $111K | $121K | $125K | $137K | $143K | $158K | $180K | $213K | $204K | $230K | $479K | $644K | $2.5M | $2.5M | $775K |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$385,606 | -$367,925 | -$358,205 | -$353,612 | -$342,402 | -$335,968 | -$321,057 | -$298,535 | -$265,953 | -$274,525 | -$248,944 | +$165,310 | +$2,022,838 | +$2,034,960 | +$296,172 | |
| Growth % vs 2026 | -80.5% | -76.8% | -74.8% | -73.8% | -71.5% | -70.1% | -67.0% | -62.3% | -55.5% | -57.3% | -52.0% | +34.5% | +422.3% | +424.8% | +61.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $329K | $1.4M | $1.3M | $405K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $986K | $3.8M | $4.0M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$329K to $986K
102.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$405K to $1.2M
101.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri City | $479K | $775K | +61.8% | |
| Richmond | $475K | $524K | +10.4% | |
| Cinco Ranch | $476K | $523K | +9.9% | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $475K | $512K | +7.8% | |
| Sugar Land | $475K | $502K | +5.8% | |
| Katy | $481K | $491K | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri City | $479K | $775K | +61.8% | |
| Sugar Land | $521K | $41.35M | +7830.2% | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $897K | $46.73M | +5111.0% | |
| Meadows Place | $845K | $17.44M | +1964.4% | |
| Alief West (Tract 672500) | $1.82M | $31.75M | +1641.2% | |
| Alief West (Tract 672401) | $1.53M | $23.78M | +1454.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri City | $479K | $775K | $790K | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $237K | $239K | $58K | |
| Missouri City | $230K | $236K | $54K | |
| Alief West | $228K | $233K | $54K | |
| Fort Bend | $199K | $197K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Fort Bend, TX · ZIP 77489 · Census Tract 48157670400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$479K
Downside (P10)
$405K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$775K
+62% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+150% by 2030
Base case: +62% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +150%. The model forecasts this with 44% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $93K | $111K | $121K | $125K | $137K | $143K | $158K | $180K | $213K | $204K | $230K | $479K | $644K | $2.5M | $2.5M | $775K |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$385,606 | -$367,925 | -$358,205 | -$353,612 | -$342,402 | -$335,968 | -$321,057 | -$298,535 | -$265,953 | -$274,525 | -$248,944 | +$165,310 | +$2,022,838 | +$2,034,960 | +$296,172 | |
| Growth % vs 2026 | -80.5% | -76.8% | -74.8% | -73.8% | -71.5% | -70.1% | -67.0% | -62.3% | -55.5% | -57.3% | -52.0% | +34.5% | +422.3% | +424.8% | +61.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $329K | $1.4M | $1.3M | $405K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $986K | $3.8M | $4.0M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. This usually reflects sparse local support, noisier history, or faster structural change.
Near-term band
$329K to $986K
102.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$405K to $1.2M
101.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri City | $479K | $775K | +61.8% | |
| Richmond | $475K | $524K | +10.4% | |
| Cinco Ranch | $476K | $523K | +9.9% | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $475K | $512K | +7.8% | |
| Sugar Land | $475K | $502K | +5.8% | |
| Katy | $481K | $491K | +2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri City | $479K | $775K | +61.8% | |
| Sugar Land | $521K | $41.35M | +7830.2% | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $897K | $46.73M | +5111.0% | |
| Meadows Place | $845K | $17.44M | +1964.4% | |
| Alief West (Tract 672500) | $1.82M | $31.75M | +1641.2% | |
| Alief West (Tract 672401) | $1.53M | $23.78M | +1454.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri City | $479K | $775K | $790K | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $237K | $239K | $58K | |
| Missouri City | $230K | $236K | $54K | |
| Alief West | $228K | $233K | $54K | |
| Fort Bend | $199K | $197K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
