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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Fort Bend, TX · ZIP 77053 · Census Tract 48157670201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$191K
Downside (P10)
$170K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$207K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$257K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $113K | $120K | $171K | $206K | $186K | $191K | $197K | $207K | $207K |
| YoY Change | +6.4% | +43.1% | +20.3% | -9.5% | +2.5% | +3.3% | +4.7% | +0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $179K | $175K | $170K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $221K | $242K | $257K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$179K to $221K
21.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$170K to $257K
42.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Bend · 77053 · (Tract 6702.1) | $190K | $207K | +9.4% | |
| Fort Bend | $194K | $228K | +17.6% | |
| Sugar Land | $200K | $224K | +11.8% | |
| Rosenberg-Richmond | $178K | $199K | +11.4% | |
| Rosenberg (Tract 675102) | $204K | $224K | +9.4% | |
| Rosenberg (Tract 675200) | $185K | $190K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Bend · 77053 · (Tract 6702.1) | $190K | $207K | +9.4% | |
| Richmond | $678K | $847K | +24.9% | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $130K | $156K | +19.5% | |
| Cinco Ranch | $624K | $743K | +19.1% | |
| Sugar Land | $352K | $414K | +17.9% | |
| Needville | $330K | $389K | +17.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Bend · 77053 · (Tract 6702.1) | $190K | $207K | $87K | |
| Rosenberg (Tract 675102) | $204K | $224K | $90K | |
| Rosenberg (Tract 675200) | $185K | $190K | $89K | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $130K | $156K | $86K | |
| Rosenberg-Richmond | $144K | $166K | $83K | |
| Fort Bend | $173K | $190K | $66K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.