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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Fort Bend, TX · ZIP 77489 · Census Tract 48157670400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$479K
Downside (P10)
$405K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$775K
+62% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.20M
+150% by 2030
Base case: +62% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +150%. The model forecasts this with 44% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $93K | $111K | $121K | $125K | $137K | $143K | $158K | $180K | $213K | $204K | $230K | $479K | $644K | $2.5M | $2.5M | $775K |
| YoY Change | +18.9% | +8.7% | +3.8% | +8.9% | +4.7% | +10.4% | +14.3% | +18.1% | -4.0% | +12.5% | +108.2% | +34.5% | +288.3% | +0.5% | -69.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $329K | $1.4M | $1.3M | $405K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $986K | $3.8M | $4.0M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$329K to $986K
102.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$405K to $1.20M
101.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri City · 77489 · (Tract 6704) | $479K | $775K | +61.8% | |
| Sugar Land (Tract 672004) | $521K | $41.35M | +7830.2% | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $897K | $46.73M | +5111.0% | |
| Meadows Place | $845K | $17.44M | +1964.4% | |
| Sugar Land (Tract 672402) | $847K | $5.21M | +515.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri City · 77489 · (Tract 6704) | $479K | $775K | +61.8% | |
| Sugar Land | $521K | $41.35M | +7830.2% | |
| Stafford-Missouri City | $897K | $46.73M | +5111.0% | |
| Meadows Place | $845K | $17.44M | +1964.4% | |
| Alief West (Tract 672500) | $1.82M | $31.75M | +1641.2% | |
| Alief West (Tract 672401) | $1.53M | $23.78M | +1454.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri City · 77489 · (Tract 6704) | $479K | $775K | $790K | |
| Alief West | $1.82M | $31.75M | $17.38M | |
| Meadows Place | $845K | $17.44M | $15.59M | |
| Cinco Ranch | $1.36M | $14.97M | $8.54M | |
| Sugar Land | $847K | $5.21M | $3.37M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.