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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Tom Green, TX · ZIP 76904 · Census Tract 48451001706 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$321K
Downside (P10)
$261K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$338K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$458K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $168K | $171K | $181K | $189K | $205K | $234K | $243K | $273K | $282K | $299K | $321K | $324K | $333K | $338K |
| YoY Change | +2.1% | +5.8% | +4.4% | +8.6% | +14.1% | +3.9% | +12.0% | +3.5% | +6.1% | +7.3% | +1.0% | +2.8% | +1.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $272K | $277K | $261K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $379K | $408K | $458K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$272K to $379K
33.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$261K to $458K
58.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Angelo · 76904 · (Tract 17.6) | $311K | $338K | +8.5% | |
| East Tom Green | $261K | $287K | +9.8% | |
| West Tom Green (Tract 001710) | $311K | $341K | +9.5% | |
| West Tom Green (Tract 001709) | $305K | $324K | +6.1% | |
| West Tom Green (Tract 001707) | $300K | $308K | +3.0% | |
| San Angelo | $245K | $251K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Angelo · 76904 · (Tract 17.6) | $311K | $338K | +8.5% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001800) | $62K | $73K | +17.6% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001402) | $84K | $97K | +15.9% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000802) | $109K | $125K | +14.9% | |
| Grape Creek | $123K | $141K | +14.6% | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000700) | $83K | $94K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Angelo · 76904 · (Tract 17.6) | $311K | $338K | $198K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000200) | $124K | $132K | $66K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000900) | $110K | $119K | $62K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000400) | $102K | $109K | $56K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 001800) | $62K | $73K | $49K | |
| San Angelo (Tract 000700) | $83K | $94K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.