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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Young, TX · Census Tract 48503000404 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$418K
Downside (P10)
$482K
+15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$726K
+74% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.17M
+179% by 2030
Base case: +74% by 2030, with a forecast range from +15% to +179%. The model forecasts this with 48% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $418K | $504K | $555K | $611K | $726K |
| YoY Change | +20.6% | +10.2% | +10.0% | +18.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $385K | $405K | $427K | $482K | |
| Upside (P90) | $695K | $797K | $889K | $1.2M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$385K to $695K
61.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$482K to $1.17M
94.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000404 | $418K | $726K | +73.8% | |
| Young (Tract 000349) | $417K | $714K | +71.4% | |
| Young (Tract 000080) | $420K | $689K | +63.8% | |
| Young (Tract 001940) | $417K | $577K | +38.5% | |
| Young (Tract 002460) | $416K | $570K | +37.1% | |
| Young (Tract 001306) | $420K | $571K | +36.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000404 | $418K | $726K | +73.8% | |
| Young (Tract 000129) | $405K | $716K | +76.8% | |
| Young (Tract 000365) | $401K | $692K | +72.6% | |
| Young (Tract 000349) | $417K | $714K | +71.4% | |
| Young (Tract 000145) | $413K | $701K | +69.7% | |
| Young (Tract 000022) | $431K | $718K | +66.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000404 | $418K | $726K | $686K | |
| Young (Tract 001940) | $417K | $577K | $498K | |
| Young (Tract 002444) | $405K | $536K | $494K | |
| Young (Tract 003184) | $414K | $533K | $490K | |
| Young (Tract 000983) | $411K | $549K | $470K | |
| Young (Tract 000446) | $388K | $573K | $430K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources