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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Young, TX · Census Tract 48503001047 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$426K
Downside (P10)
$385K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$588K
+38% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$936K
+119% by 2030
Base case: +38% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +119%. The model forecasts this with 49% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $426K | $478K | $495K | $534K | $588K |
| YoY Change | +12.2% | +3.4% | +8.0% | +10.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $380K | $356K | $375K | $385K | |
| Upside (P90) | $615K | $684K | $806K | $936K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$380K to $615K
49.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$385K to $936K
93.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham area | $426K | $588K | +38.0% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000022) | $431K | $718K | +66.5% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000080) | $420K | $689K | +63.8% | |
| Graham area (Tract 002101) | $430K | $622K | +44.6% | |
| Graham area (Tract 001209) | $432K | $605K | +40.2% | |
| Graham area (Tract 001063) | $422K | $577K | +36.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham area | $426K | $588K | +38.0% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000129) | $405K | $716K | +76.8% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000404) | $418K | $726K | +73.8% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000365) | $401K | $692K | +72.6% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000349) | $417K | $714K | +71.4% | |
| Graham area (Tract 000145) | $413K | $701K | +69.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham area | $426K | $588K | $551K | |
| Graham area (Tract 001940) | $417K | $577K | $498K | |
| Graham area (Tract 002444) | $405K | $536K | $494K | |
| Graham area (Tract 003184) | $414K | $533K | $490K | |
| Graham area (Tract 000983) | $411K | $549K | $470K | |
| Graham area (Tract 000446) | $388K | $573K | $430K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources