Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Zapata, TX · Census Tract 48505000185 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.40M
Downside (P10)
$512K
-63% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$999K
-29% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.74M
+24% by 2030
Base case: -29% by 2030, with a forecast range from -63% to +24%. The model forecasts this with 33% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.2M | $1.1M | $999K |
| YoY Change | -0.3% | -15.1% | -10.4% | -6.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $854K | $652K | $550K | $512K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.9M | $1.9M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$854K to $1.87M
72.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$512K to $1.74M
122.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000185 | $1.40M | $999K | -28.7% | |
| Zapata (Tract 000347) | $1.13M | $931K | -17.8% | |
| Zapata (Tract 000680) | $1.36M | $1.02M | -24.7% | |
| Zapata (Tract 000509) | $1.39M | $965K | -30.4% | |
| Zapata (Tract 000062) | $1.42M | $979K | -31.1% | |
| Zapata (Tract 000567) | $1.31M | $817K | -37.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000185 | $1.40M | $999K | -28.7% | |
| Zapata (Tract 000347) | $1.13M | $931K | -17.8% | |
| Zapata (Tract 000800) | $1.11M | $885K | -20.6% | |
| Zapata (Tract 000680) | $1.36M | $1.02M | -24.7% | |
| Zapata (Tract 000509) | $1.39M | $965K | -30.4% | |
| Zapata (Tract 000062) | $1.42M | $979K | -31.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000185 | $1.40M | $999K | $1.22M | |
| Zapata (Tract 000567) | $1.31M | $817K | $1.04M | |
| Zapata (Tract 000509) | $1.39M | $965K | $1.02M | |
| Zapata (Tract 000062) | $1.42M | $979K | $1.01M | |
| Zapata (Tract 000347) | $1.13M | $931K | $1.01M | |
| Zapata (Tract 000800) | $1.11M | $885K | $998K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources